Bitcoin on-chain charts & cycle indicators.
Forty-four chart references across seven categories — cycles, on-chain, statistical, flows, derivatives, mining, and macro — refit nightly from the complete daily Bitcoin history. The methodology lives on every page; the source data lives in plain JSON. No login, no paywall, no ads.
TL;DR
- What it is
- A free, no-login Bitcoin chart reference. 44 indicators across cycles, on-chain, statistical, flows, derivatives, mining, and macro — refit nightly from the full daily history. Methodology on every page; data sources documented; raw JSON downloadable.
- Where we are
- Spot $78,199.03 (24h +0.03%). Day 6,327 since genesis; lifetime range $0.05 (2010-07-18) to $124,773.51. The 44-chart catalogue below carries a live reading per indicator.
- Why it matters
- The canonical Bitcoin chart references have steadily moved behind paywalls and login walls. btc oak rebuilds the same indicator surface in the open — transparent formulas, primary-source citations, the historical-readings table per cycle, and the “when this indicator was wrong” section every competitor leaves out.
- The catch
- Indicators are lenses, not forecasts. Every page carries a “when it fails” section for a reason. Best read as a portfolio of disagreeing signals; a single chart in isolation is the easiest way to talk yourself into the wrong cycle position. Start with the methodology pillar for the full index.
Spot BTC
$78,199.03
+3.2% 24h
Days since genesis
6,327
3 Jan 2009 → today
Historical low
$0.05
2010-07-18
Historical high
$124,773.51
All time
Charts · 44 indicators
7 categoriesCycles
Methodology → 7 charts
01 The Rainbow Chart
Bitcoin's price since genesis in logarithmic space, divided into nine valuation bands.
Band III · Accumulation · −39.7%
02 Stock-to-Flow
A scarcity-based valuation model. Price as a function of existing supply divided by new annual issuance.
Extremely undervalued · −64.2% vs model
03 Power-Law Corridor
Bitcoin's price bounded by a narrowing log-log corridor, first described by Giovanni Santostasi.
Lower band · 26% of corridor
04 Pi Cycle Top
Two moving averages whose crossover has historically landed very close to Bitcoin's major cycle peaks.
Far · gap −61.3%
05 200-Week Moving Average Heatmap
Long-term support line, colored by its four-week rate of change.
Flat · historically a bottoming phase · 4wk Δ 1.69%
16 Golden-Ratio Multiplier
Philip Swift's 350-day-MA Fibonacci band. Six multipliers (1.6, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21) mark progression from accumulation to late-cycle excess; later peaks have tended to top out in lower bands.
0.81× 350DMA · Below 1.6× MA
26 Drawdown from All-Time High
Percentage below the running all-time high on every historical day. The canonical bear-market shape, annotated with every cycle-trough anchor.
−37.3% · 206d since ATH · Bear territory
On-chain
Methodology → 14 charts
06 Fear & Greed Index
A 0–100 composite of volatility, momentum, dominance, social, and survey signals. A read on market sentiment.
25 · Fear
07 Puell Multiple
Daily issuance value divided by its 365-day average. Miner-revenue regime as a cycle lens.
0.767 · Accumulation range
08 Net Unrealized Profit / Loss
The fraction of all BTC currently held at a paper profit. Zero is the break-even network.
+29.1% · Optimism / Anxiety
11 AHR999 Index
A dollar-cost-averaging index built from the short-run price and its 200-day geometric mean. Under 0.45 marks the DCA zone; over 1.2, overbought.
0.452 · Accumulation
12 Reserve Risk
Price divided by the accumulated HODL bank — long-term-holder conviction relative to price. A log-scale index that typically ranges from 0.0005 to 0.05.
0.00136 · Strong conviction
13 RHODL Ratio
The ratio of 1-week to 2-year realized-cap bands. A cycle-top lens — peaks when recently-moved coins dominate the realized-cap distribution.
1.7k · Mid-cycle
14 STH / LTH SOPR
Spent-Output Profit Ratio split by holder age. Above 1 means coins are being spent at a profit; below 1 means loss. Short-term and long-term crossings frame cycle regimes.
STH 1.003 · LTH 0.821 · Recovery
15 STH / LTH Realized Price
Average cost basis of coins by holder age cohort. Spot against short- and long-term realized prices — a classic support and resistance band for cycle bottoms and tops.
STH $78,769.13 · LTH $47,912.52 · Between cost bases
27 MVRV Ratio
Market capitalisation divided by realized capitalisation — Bitcoin's price-to-book. Readings below one have marked the deepest capitulation windows.
1.40× realized · Fair-to-elevated
28 MVRV Z-Score
The Awe & Wonder standardisation of MVRV. Above +7 marked the classic early blow-off tops; deep bottoms tend to cluster near +0.1 and below.
Z +0.71 · Undervalued
29 HODL Waves
Two-bucket long-term-holder dominance stack. Accumulation into cold storage vs distribution to new hands, day by day.
LTH 80.0% · 90d +8.7 pts · Accumulating
39 Active Addresses
Daily unique addresses that transacted on the Bitcoin network. Saturates above a million at cycle peaks; bottoms near 500k in deep bears.
690,258 · 30d 624,254 · YoY −14.7% · Contracting
40 New Addresses
First-time addresses created per day. A stronger adoption signal than total active — measures on-boarding rather than circulation.
304,978 · 90d 293,479 · YoY −6.4% · Normal
41 Bitcoin Correlations
90-day rolling correlation of Bitcoin with gold, small-caps, Nasdaq-100, S&P 500, and long-bonds. Is BTC digital gold, tech stock, or independent?
top IWM +0.96 · Risk-on linked
Mining
Methodology → 2 charts
30 Hash Rate
Total computing power securing the Bitcoin network, 2009 to today. Grows with price in log space; sharp drawdowns mark miner capitulations.
936.9 EH/s · 30d −2.2%
31 Hash Ribbon
Charles Edwards' 30/60-day hash-rate crossover. Capitulation below, recovery above. This page marks every raw recovery upcross.
Capitulation · last 2026-02-26 · 26 recovery signals
Statistical
Methodology → 10 charts
32 Daily Issuance
New Bitcoin issued per day — a step function halving every four years. USD value and annualised inflation alongside, with the countdown to the next halving.
450 BTC · $35.2M/day · 0.82% infl · 719d to halving
33 Rolling CAGR
Compound annual growth rate over 1, 3, 5, and 10-year rolling windows. The Bitcoin returns-by-period question answered in one chart.
1y −17.0% · 3y +40.6% · 10y +67.5% · Strong
34 Rolling Volatility
Annualised stddev of daily log returns across 30, 90, and 365-day windows. The long-run maturation story — vol compressing every cycle.
30d 37.8% · 90d 60.2% · 365d 43.0% · Normal
35 Profitable Days
Every historical day coloured sage or rust — would buying that day have been profitable at today’s price? A visual bear-market anatomy of the holding history.
92.2% profitable · 451 unprofitable · longest 298d
36 Halving-Cycle Overlay
Four halving cycles normalised to day 0 — how every post-halving price run compares at the same days-since elapsed.
day 742 · 1.23× · prior 3.47× · best 28.1× (2012 cycle)
37 Time in Band
Asymmetric time-distribution across the Rainbow valuation bands. Years in the lower bands, weeks in the Euphoric.
Band III · Accumulation · most lived-in III · Accumulation
38 Monthly Returns Heatmap
Bitcoin’s monthly return grid — years as rows, months as columns, coloured by sign and magnitude. The evergreen seasonal-performance reference.
MTD +3.2% · YTD −11.6% · best +453.0% Nov 2013
42 Daily Transaction Count
Daily confirmed on-chain transactions. Saturates near 300–500k per day under the block-size ceiling; the 30-day average reads network usage through fee-market regimes.
566,274 · 30d 568,968 · YoY +40.0% · Expansion
43 Daily Fees
Total USD transaction fees paid to miners each day. Halving-day spikes and ordinals/runes events stand out against four orders of magnitude of history.
$207k today · 7d $196k · share 0.59%
44 NVT Ratio & Signal
Market cap divided by daily on-chain transaction volume. Bitcoin's price-to-utility ratio — Woo's original NVT plus Kalichkin's 90-day smoothed NVT Signal.
Signal 226.3 · raw 190.4 · Overvalued
Flows
Methodology → 3 charts
09 Bitcoin ETF Flows
Daily net flow into US spot Bitcoin ETFs since January 2024. Cumulative inflows and AUM alongside.
$0.00B today · Neutral
10 Exchange Reserves & Net-Flow
Total BTC held on centralised exchanges, paired with the 30-day aggregate net inflow.
2.48M BTC · 30d +1,523 BTC · Neutral
21 Coinbase Premium Index
Price delta between Coinbase Pro and Binance. Positive spikes tag US-institutional accumulation; sustained negatives have preceded distribution phases.
−0.053% · 7d −0.006% · Balanced
Derivatives
Methodology → 4 charts
17 Long/Short Ratio
Ratio of long to short accounts on the top perpetual-futures venue. A contrarian positioning lens — crowded longs precede flushes, crowded shorts precede squeezes.
0.580 · Shorts crowded · longs 36.8%
18 Funding Rate
Volume-weighted perpetual-futures funding rate. Positive means longs pay shorts; negative means shorts pay longs. A real-time read on leverage imbalance.
−0.0030% 8h · Neutral
19 Open Interest
Total USD value of outstanding Bitcoin futures contracts across exchanges. Rising OI into price rallies marks leverage build-up; flushes mark deleveraging.
$58.63B · 3.75% of mcap · Leveraged
20 Liquidation Heatmap
Aggregate long- and short-liquidation clusters over the last year, shown as a price × time density grid. Bright cells are magnet zones price tends to seek.
1.62 up/down · Balanced
Macro
Methodology → 4 charts
22 Bitcoin Dominance
Bitcoin's share of the total crypto market cap, 2013 to today. The cleanest lens for BTC-versus-alt regime.
59.9% · 60d +0.6 pts · Stable
23 Stablecoin Market Cap
Total USD stablecoin market cap — USDT, USDC, DAI, and the rest. A proxy for dry powder waiting to deploy.
$272.45B · 30d +2.1% · Stable
24 Altcoin Season Index
A 0–100 index. Zero is pure Bitcoin season, one hundred is pure altcoin season — measured directly against the top-50 alts.
36 · BTC-leaning
25 BTC vs Global M2
Bitcoin price against global (or US) M2 money supply. Two log scales, 180-day rolling correlation, optional basket toggle.
M2 $118324.79B · YoY +10.3% · 180d ρ -0.86 · Negative correlation
Reference · 4 pages
live toolsLive block-anchored
Bitcoin halving countdown
Days, blocks, and cycle progress to the next subsidy halving.
Past + projected
Bitcoin halving dates
Every halving with date, block, reward, halving-day price, and forward 12-month return.
Cycle peaks
Bitcoin all-time high
Current ATH, days since, distance, plus every cycle peak and the drawdown that followed.
Sat-level math
Bitcoin total supply
Live circulating supply, the protocol-level 21M cap derivation, and the lost-coins range.
btc oak is a free reference work, built to replace what LookIntoBitcoin was before it went behind a paywall. The charts on this site are the most commonly cited cycle models for Bitcoin. They are neither forecasts nor investment advice — they are lenses for thinking about price in context of time, scarcity, and market regime.
Every coefficient refits nightly from the complete daily history. Every formula is published on the methodology pillar. Every term is defined in the glossary. Every data source is cited on sources. The author bio lives on about.